Struggling. I'm struggling this morning with some of the things that Warren Buffett is doing with his cash these days. I am struggling because he is selling America, selling Johnson & Johnson (JNJ Quote - Cramer on JNJ - Stock Picks) and Procter & Gamble(PG Quote - Cramer on PG - Stock Picks), selling ConocoPhillips(COP Quote - Cramer on COP - Stock Picks) and selling U.S. Bancorp(USB Quote - Cramer on USB - Stock Picks).
Mind you, this isn't Boone Pickens selling almost all of his energy positions while predicting oil will double, although that's some benchmark. Who knows why Pickens is selling? I think the market's given him a real whopping. But whenever you say that any rich person has lost money, one whom we respected, you can expect to get corrected posthaste. So, I will simply leave the sales and the facts out there and let Pickens arrive at a story arc.
No, these are sales by Buffett. The "out" Buffett always has is that he buys for the long term. I have no problem with that if you are really rich because you aren't worrying about losing your house or putting food on the table or putting a kid through school. I have argued mightily that it isn't a fair time frame for the hundreds of millions of Americans -- lotsa people -- who aren't rich. However, as long as Buffett was buying and not selling, or as long as he was at least holding, you couldn't knock him.
Now, Buffett doesn't have to answer for anything. He has had a long and distinguished career and is obviously a tremendous investor. But it is fair to say that many, many people relied on his judgment to buy stocks just like the quintessential American names of Procter & Gamble and Johnson & Johnson.
To them, what can I say? "Don't worry about it"?
In that now-fated editorial, Buffett wrote that those in cash are making a bet that they will be able to get in again, and that's often a foolish bet. He continued that those waiting for the comfort of good news are ignoring hockey great Wayne Gretzky's advice: "I skate to where the puck is going to be, not to where it has been."
Looks like those who waited can now buy all the JNJ and PG they want. They are much lower than Oct. 16, 2008. The puck never got there. And, in this horrible market, cash and patience will beat "buy high and sell low" any day of the week. American or not. Sobering.
I think that Buffett's actions should be scrutinized just like anyone else's. I have been turned on to this view by my good friend Doug Kass, who has been on this case for months now. In fact, I have talked to the editors and we are starting a "Buffett Watch" to see what is happening with Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A Quote - Cramer on BRK.A - Stock Picks) as it lurches from Johnson & Johnson and U.S. Bancorp to General Electric (GE Quote - Cramer on GE - Stock Picks) and Goldman Sachs (GS Quote - Cramer on GS - Stock Picks) and Tiffany(TIF Quote - Cramer on TIF - Stock Picks) and Harley-Davidson(HOG Quote - Cramer on HOG - Stock Picks).
We need to know what's happening. Buffett's firm is too big, and he is too important to ignore. We need to know daily and some institution has to have the guts to do it. Glad it's us.
At the time of publication, Cramer was long Johnson & Johnson, ConocoPhillips, General Electric and Goldman Sachs.Related Links
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